A short summary. The full interactive FAQ has more, grouped by topic, with live numbers from the current configuration.
It is purely informational. Think of it as a daily, structured summary of how tense relations between Serbia, Kosovo and Republika Srpska look in open-source reporting, compared with recent weeks. It is not a prediction of conflict and should not be the basis for operational, financial or travel decisions.
No. It is a score on a 0–100 scale, not a percentage chance of anything. The methodology shows exactly how it is calculated.
Yes, with attribution and with its nature made clear: name and link it, quote the date (values can be revised later — every revision is logged on the day's own page), and describe it as a heuristic index from open-source reporting, not a measure of the probability of war. The data is CC BY 4.0 licensed; a free account unlocks the full CSV/JSON history.
Three reasons, all recorded rather than hidden: a day's baseline depends on the days before it, so adding earlier history can shift it; a change to the weights or thresholds is applied to the whole history for consistency; and a factual correction to a specific day gets that day re-scored. Any of these shows as a "Revised" note with the exact change, on that day's own page.
Each day an automated, AI-assisted analysis reviews open-source reporting and scores it against a fixed, published rubric (see the methodology). Unusual results — an extreme score, a sudden jump, or content that looks like it's trying to manipulate the process — are held for human review before publishing, not published automatically.
See the full FAQ for more, including how sources are chosen and balanced across Serbian, Kosovar-Albanian, Bosnian and international outlets.